Policy briefs
Pobreza, trabajo y capital humano
Todas · Econometría · Big Data · Pobreza · Macro/Sectorial · Diseño de Políticas · Experimentos
-
Venezuela post 3E: Persistencia de la intención de migrar y efectos sobre el capital humano
About 4.5% of Venezuelan adults say they want to emigrate, and 28% of them already have a concrete plan for the next twelve months, roughly 249,000 people. Those with plans have more schooling than average (12.1 years against 10.5). If everyone who wants to leave…
-
Colapso de los servicios públicos: Los costos de la crisis de electricidad y agua sobre el mercado laboral de Venezuela
In 2026, seven in ten Venezuelan households (70.2%) received water or electricity precariously, up from 48.5% in 2025 and the highest level on record, driven mostly by electricity rationing. Living in such a household lowers the probability of labour-force participation by 4.4 percentage points and…
-
Ocho datos sobre las mujeres en el mercado laboral venezolano al cierre de 2025 (a propósito del 8M)
Female-headed households have risen from 28.1% of the total in 1998 to 71.3% today, and their poverty rate of 80.3% runs 11 points above male-headed households. Female labour participation of 50.8% is the lowest in Latin America bar Honduras.
-
Crisis económica y el colapso del acervo de capital humano venezolano (Parte I)
Venezuela lost 40% of the schooling embodied in its workforce between 2015 and 2021 — some 55.3 million person-years of education withdrawn from production — alongside a third of its economically active population and 27% of its university-educated workers. Average schooling among active workers fell…
-
Oportunidades perdidas: Tendencias en la movilidad intergeneracional en educación en Venezuela
Upward educational mobility fell 41% between 1994 and 2021 while downward mobility rose 105%, placing Venezuela fourth from the bottom in Latin America — children are now markedly less likely to exceed their parents’ schooling than a generation ago. Built from mobility tables using EHM…
-
Trabajo no remunerado y desigualdades de género en Venezuela: Un análisis a partir de la EUT 2023
Venezuelan women work longer total hours than men — 12h49m daily against 11h34m — while participating in paid work at barely half the male rate (31% against 54%). An estimated 15.4 million people perform unpaid care work, 65% of them women, valued at between US$0.84…
-
¿Venezuela se arregló?: Tendencias recientes en la distribución del ingreso
The richest decile gained 91% while the poorest lost 11%, and growth rates rise monotonically across the distribution — every decile grew faster than the one below it. The bottom 30% saw no real improvement at all. Constructed as a growth incidence curve from ENCOVI…
-
Remesas, Pobreza y Distribución del Ingreso en Venezuela: ¿Qué dice la evidencia?
Remittances reach 24.3% of Venezuelan households and supply 59% of total income in the poorest quintile against 37% in the richest. The identification is clean: recipient and non-recipient households show statistically identical poverty rates of 66% once remittances are stripped out, so the difference between…
-
Covid-19 y vulnerabilidad de los hogares en Venezuela: A un año del comienzo de la pandemia
Some 95.2% of Venezuelan households lacked effective health insurance entering the pandemic, 37.6% had a member with a chronic condition and 38.8% lacked reliable potable water. Vulnerability to lockdown itself was equally acute: 81.2% had no internet, 70.5% no computer and 18.3% reported a member…
-
Breve Reseña del Mercado Laboral Venezolano: Qué dicen los datos más recientes
Venezuela’s labour force contracted by 4.7 million people, a 29.3% fall, leaving a participation rate of 59.2% and female participation of 44.6% — both the lowest in the region. Nearly half of active workers (47.6%) are self-employed and manufacturing accounts for just 2.8% of employment.…
-
La clase media venezolana: la clase desaparecida (Parte 1)
Roughly nine in ten families who were middle class in 2010 no longer are. Typical middle-class household income fell from about US$830 to US$195 per month, a 77% loss of purchasing power. The finding holds across three competing definitions — relative income bands, economic-security thresholds…
-
¿Cuál es el costo real de la crisis de salud? Tendencia reciente de la mortalidad infantil en Venezuela.
An estimated 30,421 children under five died in excess of what would have been expected between 2011 and 2018. Using the synthetic control method, the brief constructs a ‘Synthetic Venezuela’ from 26 weighted comparator countries matched on income, state size, investment, macroeconomic stability, regime type…