Policy briefs
Venezuela
Todas · Econometría · Big Data · Pobreza · Macro/Sectorial · Diseño de Políticas · Experimentos
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Impacto de las Sanciones Financieras Internacionales contra Venezuela: Nueva Evidencia
US financial sanctions are estimated to account for 45.2% of the cumulative fall in oil production between August 2017 and December 2019, with an immediate effect of 6.2% on monthly output. Counterintuitively, food and medicine imports rose immediately after the sanctions and their rate of…
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Breve Reseña del Mercado Laboral Venezolano: Qué dicen los datos más recientes
Venezuela’s labour force contracted by 4.7 million people, a 29.3% fall, leaving a participation rate of 59.2% and female participation of 44.6% — both the lowest in the region. Nearly half of active workers (47.6%) are self-employed and manufacturing accounts for just 2.8% of employment.…
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La clase media venezolana: la clase desaparecida (Parte 1)
Roughly nine in ten families who were middle class in 2010 no longer are. Typical middle-class household income fell from about US$830 to US$195 per month, a 77% loss of purchasing power. The finding holds across three competing definitions — relative income bands, economic-security thresholds…
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¿Cuál es el costo real de la crisis de salud? Tendencia reciente de la mortalidad infantil en Venezuela.
An estimated 30,421 children under five died in excess of what would have been expected between 2011 and 2018. Using the synthetic control method, the brief constructs a ‘Synthetic Venezuela’ from 26 weighted comparator countries matched on income, state size, investment, macroeconomic stability, regime type…
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Los Ni-Ni: Jóvenes que ni trabajan ni estudian en Venezuela
Roughly 1.76 million young Venezuelans — 30.9% of 15-to-24-year-olds — are outside both education and work, a 48.5% increase since 2015 and the highest rate in Latin America. Crucially, the collapse in school attendance was not offset by entry into the labour market: the share…
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¿Cómo ha sido la evolución geográfica de la pobreza en Venezuela?
Venezuela publishes no subnational poverty indicators, so while national poverty rates are broadly known, their territorial distribution is not. This brief produces a poverty map covering all 23 states, 335 municipalities and 1,135 parishes, combining small-area estimation methods with machine-learning predictive algorithms applied to census…